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From stagflation to debt crises

From stagflation to debt crises

The global economy is experiencing a toxic mix of slowing growth and rising inflation, bringing echoes of the stagflation of the 1970s. This column discusses how the resolution of that episode required steep increases in interest rates that marked the beginning of a decade of debt crises in emerging market and developing economies. If current stagflationary pressures intensify, some of these economies would likely face severe challenges again in rolling over their debt due to elevated financial vulnerabilities and weakening growth fundamentals. […]