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Bond returns in sovereign debt crises: The investors’ perspective
For countries experiencing a debt crisis, the restructuring of government bonds is a possible resolution tool. For investors, however, the literature highlights the short-term losses of such operations. This column provides evidence on investment returns over the longer run and finds that bond returns over the longer run – capturing both pre- and post-crisis times – do not differ significantly between crises with and without debt restructuring. What matters more is bondholders’ investment strategy during crises episodes. Conditional on a debt crisis, debt restructuring can even be financially rewarding for creditors investing in distressed bonds.