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Our 2023 outlook for Italian sovereign bonds

The rise in interest rates has brought back into focus discussions about debt sustainability in highly-indebted countries, like Italy. Italy’s debt-to-GDP ratio has fallen in 2021 and 2022 despite massive public spending to counter the impact of the pandemic and the war in Ukraine. This might seem counterintuitive, but higher nominal GDP growth (thanks to high inflation) has played a big role in improving the debt picture.  […]