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Global economic outlook, January 2025
The year 2024 began with confidence that inflation was largely beaten and that major economies would likely avoid recession. Those expectations were correct. However, as the year ended, it became increasingly clear that inflation remained more persistent than anticipated. And while the United States experienced strong growth, most other advanced economies did not. Moreover, as the year ended, many economies experienced currency depreciation, which could potentially become disruptive especially for emerging market economies. As 2025 begins, there is some uncertainty due to the likely shift in policy following numerous elections around the world. New policies could lead to new trajectories for inflation, borrowing costs, and currency values, as well as trade flows, capital flows, and costs of production. […]