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Quantitative Integrated Policy Analysis: Model, Estimation, and Country Applications

This course provides an overview of the quantitative model for the integrated policy framework (QIPF) and shows how it can be applied to address pressing policy questions. It first discusses the model’s theoretical underpinnings and relates them to key principles of current Fund advice, focusing on monetary policy tradeoffs and the design of policies mitigating macroeconomic and financial instability, including the application of macroprudential policy tools. Of particular interest will be to study the interaction between interest rate, FX interventions, capital flow measures and macroprudential policy tools. The course shall also demonstrate how estimation can be used to account for country-specific characteristics, and how estimation outputs can be used to help interpret economic developments. Finally, a number of applications will additionally showcase how the QIPF can be used to build macroeconomic and financial crisis scenarios designed to provide quantitative answers to practical policy questions.