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UK’s Big Budget Gamble: Bond calm Now, Economic Misery Later?

On November 26th, the UK government will deliver a very consequential budget. Investors are watching like hawks, and Reeves is delivering several trial balloons as we approach the deadline. So far, bond investors are very happy with what they see: Reeves is rumored to raise GBP 30-50 bn (!) through a fiscal tightening exercise at the next budget. [...]