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Rates Outlook: A Lot Not to Like for Bonds

Tough to see much progress on the US-Iran “talks” this side of the Trump-Xi summit. As we wait, Treasuries feel pain. EUR rates still closely follow the bear-flattening/bull-steepening dynamic alongside oil prices. It’s not just oil as a driver for gilt yields; they remain pressured higher by worries politics could get fiscally more expansive [...]