The shutdown has added to economic challenges such as sluggish hiring and stubbornly elevated inflation. Uncertainty around the release of October jobs and consumer price index data adds uncertainty at a time when the Federal Reserve already faces a contested interest rate decision next month. US 4Q GDP is seen being reduced several tenths of 1% because of the shutdown though much of this should be made up for by stronger Q1 2026 output – which will boost growth for the 2026 calendar year. [...]