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Financial Stability Report : Stable, until It isn’t

The latest Financial Stability Report offers a reassuring message: Ethiopia’s financial system is sound, resilient, and improving. Capital is strong. Liquidity is ample. Profitability is rising. Growth has rebounded. Inflation is easing. Digital finance is booming. In short, all is well. But stability reports are written in calm weather. They measure yesterday’s conditions and project them forward, assuming tomorrow will behave much like today. [...]