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Pakistan's Debt Management: A Ricardian Equivalence Perspective

This study explores the influence of global financial institutions and regional crises on Pakistan's debt management practices, employing a Ricardian Equivalence perspective. Against a backdrop of evolving global financial landscapes and recurring regional crises, Pakistan's debt management strategies face substantial challenges and opportunities. By adopting a Ricardian Equivalence lens, this research aims to unravel the complex interplay between interventions by global financial institutions, the repercussions of regional crises, and Pakistan's debt management approaches. Through a comprehensive analysis, this study seeks to elucidate how external influences from global financial institutions and regional crises shape the nation's debt sustainability and management frameworks. By examining the implications of these external factors on the country's debt dynamics, this research intends to provide valuable insights into the strategic decisions and policy responses employed by Pakistan to navigate the intricacies of debt management in a volatile economic environment. This research further contributes to a deeper understanding of the challenges and opportunities faced by developing economies in maintaining fiscal stability and sustainable debt levels, by shedding light on the impact of global financial institutions and regional crises on Pakistan's debt management practices. We checked the validity of the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis in Pakistan by using structural consumption and saving functions. By employing the ordinary least square method, we tested the hypothesis, which was ultimately rejected based on the Wald test results. The Engel-Granger causality approach revealed uni-directional causality between Government Debt and Private Consumption, and Government Debt and Private Saving; along with bidirectional causality between Government Budget Deficit and Private Saving.