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Title Author/Affiliation Topic Year of Publication
When Does Federal Debt Reach Unsustainable Levels? Spring 2026 - Onward Hangjun He, Kent Smetters - Penn Wharton Budget Model Financial Analysis 2026
The Causal Effect of Debt on Interest Rates Abhik Bhatt et al. - Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Financial Analysis 2026
The investor base for sovereign debt: Why diversification matters Sam Foxall, Jeffrey Gao - OECD, Bank of Canada Financial Analysis 2026
Distributing Sovereign Debt in a Rising Debt Environment: Outcomes from Canada’s 2024 Debt Distribution Framework Review William Bradley, Jeffrey Gao - Bank of Canada Financial Analysis 2026
States as Financiers: International Lending in War and Peace Sebastian Horn, Carmen M. Reinhart, Christoph Trebesch - Kiel Institute, Harvard University Financial Analysis 2026
The Birth of a Market: Euro Safe Assets between Liquidity and Euro Risk Umberto Cherubini, Angelo Baglioni - University of Bologna, Catholic University of Milan Financial Analysis 2026
State-contingent debt premia may be lower than you think Kris Mitchener, Gonçalo Pina - Santa Clara University, ESCP Business School Financial Analysis 2026
When AI meets local debt Sean Dougherty, Christos Makridis - OECD, Arizona State University Financial Analysis 2026
Does the Yield Curve still predict Recessions? U.S. and OECD Evidence Mufan Chen - University of Wisconsin Financial Analysis 2026
Treasury supply shocks: propagation through debt expansion and maturity adjustment Huixin Bi, Maxime Phillot, Sarah Zubairy - Federal Reserve of Kansas City, Swiss National Bank, Texas A&M University and NBER Financial Analysis 2026

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